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Court Will Overturn Individual Mandate, Legal Insiders Say

06/21/12

  10:55:47 am, by MedBen5   , 149 words,  
Categories: Announcements

Court Will Overturn Individual Mandate, Legal Insiders Say

The Supreme Court will strike down the individual mandate provision of the Affordable Care Act, says a survey of legal experts.

USA Today reports that research group Purple Insights asked 56 insiders – 38 former clerks of current Supreme Court justices and 18 attorneys who have argued before the Court – how the Court would vote on the requirement that most Americans purchase health insurance or pay a penalty. The survey found that oral arguments persuaded the majority of respondents that the justices will kill the mandate.

“In March, our experts believed that likelihood (of an overturn) stood at 35%,” said a memo from Doug Usher of Purple Insights. “After hearing the oral arguments and the justices’ questioning, our experts now place that probability at 57%.”

The survey conclusions also note that “[i]f the mandate is struck down, respondents are more likely to believe other parts of the law will go with it.”

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