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Over 40% Of U.S. Will Be Obese By 2030, Study Estimates

05/08/12

  09:46:57 am, by MedBen5   , 230 words,  
Categories: News, Wellness

Over 40% Of U.S. Will Be Obese By 2030, Study Estimates

Some dire predictions from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: Not only will the number of overweight Americans continue to grow, the proportion considered “severely obese” will be more than double the current rate by 2030.

The Wall Street Journal Health Blog reports that the a study by CDC, in partnership with researchers at Duke University and research firm RTI International, estimates that the percentage of obese Americans will climb to 42% within two decades. Currently, one-third of Americans have a body mass index of 30 or more.

Severe obesity – a BMI of 40 and up, which was extremely rare prior to the early 1970s – will increase to 11% of the population by 2030. A severely obese person is at least 50% over their ideal weight.

“The world has changed in a way that allows people to be that overweight,” Eric Finkelstein, lead author of the study and associate professor at the Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School in Singapore, told the Health Blog. “Sixty or seventy years ago you couldn’t sustain the excess caloric intake needed to be that heavy.”

The CDC is also concerned about the obesity epidemic in children, and how it affects them later in life. An earlier study tracking weights of children to adulthood found that about 50% of severely obese adults were obese as children, said Bill Dietz, director of the agency’s Division of Nutrition, Physical Activity and Obesity.

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